ATLANTIC OCEAN & CARIBBEAN SEA
ABNT20 KNHC 251156 CCA
YUCATAN & QUINTANA ROO, MEXICO
Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Sep 25 2021
Corrected disturbance order
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Sam, located about 1150 miles east-southeast of the northern
Leeward Islands, and on Subtropical Storm Teresa, located about 150
miles north-northwest of Bermuda.
An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with
the remnants of Peter is located several hundred miles south of
Bermuda. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for
slow development of this disturbance over the next few days as it
moves northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
*Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa by
early Monday. Thereafter, environmental conditions are forecast
to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression
could form by the middle of next week while the system moves
westward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Teresa are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Teresa are issued under
WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.
Forecaster Hagen/Latto
